Next ECB President?

Polymarket traders put "Pablo Hernández de Cos" at 35.0% on "Next ECB President?". $1.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Feb 8.

Most likely right now
Pablo Hernández de Cos
–35%
EconomyVol $1.3KTotal volume $1.3KLiquidity $5.0KComments 1in 3 months (Feb 8)
Current probability

Oct 30 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Pablo Hernández de Cos
35.0%
–
Klaas Knot
27.5%
–
Olli Rehn
15.5%
–
François Villeroy de Galhau
15.0%
–
Fabio Panetta
11.5%
–
Nadia Calviño
9.50%
–
Joachim Nagel
7.50%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.