Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
Polymarket traders put "50%+" at 99.4% on "Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?". Unchanged from yesterday. $3.7K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jul 1.
Most likely right now
50%+
–99%
TechVol $3.7KTotal volume $60KLiquidity $5.2KComments 2in 8 months (Jul 1)
Current probability
Nov 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
50%+
99.4%
–
55%+
98.3%
▲0.5
60%+
91.6%
▼2.2
65%+
54.5%
▲10.5
Probability over time
50%+
55%+
60%+
65%+
2026-09-30 ~ 2026-11-12 · y-axis %
