Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

Polymarket traders put "50%+" at 99.4% on "Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?". Unchanged from yesterday. $3.7K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jul 1.

Most likely right now
50%+
–99%
TechVol $3.7KTotal volume $60KLiquidity $5.2KComments 2in 8 months (Jul 1)
Current probability

Nov 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
50%+
99.4%
–
55%+
98.3%
▲0.5
60%+
91.6%
▼2.2
65%+
54.5%
▲10.5

Probability over time

50%+
55%+
60%+
65%+
02550751009/3010/810/1610/2411/111/911/12
2026-09-30 ~ 2026-11-12 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.