Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?

Polymarket traders put "September 11" at 39.0% on "Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?". $426 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 30.

Most likely right now
September 11
39%
TechVol $426Total volume $426Liquidity $4.0Kin 26 days (Sep 30)
Current probability

Sep 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
September 11
39.0%
September 23
36.0%
September 14
35.5%
September 18
29.0%
September 15
26.5%
September 25
22.5%
September 28
21.5%
September 19
21.0%
September 21
21.0%
September 30
20.0%
September 24
19.5%
September 16
17.0%
September 17
17.0%
September 10
16.0%
On or prior to September 9
15.9%
September 13
13.5%
September 20
13.5%
September 26
13.5%
September 29
13.5%
September 27
13.0%
September 12
11.3%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.