Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?
Polymarket traders put "November 23" at 47.5% on "Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?". $330 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 25 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.
Most likely right now
November 23
–48%
TechVol $330Total volume $330Liquidity $3.2Kin 27 days (Dec 1)
Current probability
Nov 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
November 23
47.5%
–
November 21
47.0%
–
November 29
41.5%
–
November 30
29.0%
–
November 25
28.5%
–
November 15
25.5%
–
November 16
25.5%
–
November 24
25.5%
–
November 28
25.5%
–
November 14
25.4%
–
November 8
25.4%
–
November 10
25.4%
–
November 6
25.0%
–
November 9
25.0%
–
November 12
25.0%
–
November 13
25.0%
–
November 17
25.0%
–
November 19
25.0%
–
November 20
25.0%
–
November 26
25.0%
–
No release by November 30
25.0%
–
November 11
24.0%
–
November 18
24.0%
–
November 22
4.00%
–
November 27
4.00%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
