OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2029" at 22.5% on "OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?". $93 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31, 2029
–23%
EconomyVol $93Total volume $539KLiquidity $71KComments 5in 3.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31, 2029
22.5%
–
December 31, 2028
17.5%
–
December 31, 2027
8.50%
–
Probability over time
December 31, 2029
December 31, 2028
December 31, 2027
2026-09-19 ~ 2026-11-03 · y-axis %
