OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

Polymarket traders put "OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?" at 8.0%. Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $44 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31, 2026
▼0.58%
TechVol $44Total volume $9.5KLiquidity $1.4Kin 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Nov 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2026
8.00%
▼0.5

Probability over time

December 31, 2026
02550751009/209/2810/610/1410/2210/3011/4
2026-09-20 ~ 2026-11-04 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.