Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place

Most likely right now
Humberto Costa
5.546%
PoliticsVol $3.6KTotal volume $20KLiquidity $88Kin 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Humberto Costa
46.0%
5.5
Mendonça Filho
33.5%
1.0
Marília Arraes
13.4%
12.7
Eduardo da Fonte
6.60%
4.9
Túlio Gadêlha
0.60%
Gorett Bitu
0.15%
Mariano Macedo
0.15%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
0.15%
Samuel Timoteo
0.15%
Carlos Sant'Anna
0.10%
Mailson da Silva Neto
0.05%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
0.05%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.