Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

Polymarket traders put "No change" at 83.5% on "Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $218 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
No change
▼1.084%
EconomyVol $218Total volume $84KLiquidity $27Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
No change
83.5%
▼1.0
25 bps increase
16.4%
–
50+ bps increase
0.60%
–
25 bps decrease
0.30%
–
50+ bps decrease
0.05%
–

Probability over time

No change
25 bps increase
50+ bps increase
25 bps decrease
50+ bps decrease
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.