Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

Polymarket traders put "25 bps increase" at 65.0% on "Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $50 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 28.

Most likely right now
25 bps increase
▲0.565%
EconomyVol $50Total volume $88KLiquidity $9.0Kin 19 days (Oct 28)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
25 bps increase
65.0%
▲0.5
No change
29.5%
▼1.0
50+ bps increase
4.80%
–
25 bps decrease
0.20%
–
50+ bps decrease
0.05%
–

Probability over time

25 bps increase
No change
50+ bps increase
25 bps decrease
50+ bps decrease
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.