Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 1st Place

Most likely right now
Marcel Van Hattem
12.056%
PoliticsVol $2.2KTotal volume $13KLiquidity $95Kin 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Marcel Van Hattem
55.5%
12.0
Manuela D'Ávila
41.5%
1.5
Tania Peres
2.20%
Sanderson
1.95%
1.1
Pimenta
1.85%
0.7
Luciano do MLB
0.25%
Regis Ethur
0.25%
Daniela Mulheres Socialistas
0.15%
Frederico Antunes
0.15%
Milton Cardoso
0.15%
Renato Jaguarão
0.15%
Ric Jones
0.15%
Rigotto
0.15%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.