Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place

Most likely right now
Marcel Van Hattem
2.034%
PoliticsVol $220Total volume $17KLiquidity $78Kin 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Marcel Van Hattem
34.0%
2.0
Pimenta
30.5%
5.5
Manuela D'Ávila
27.5%
1.0
Rigotto
11.5%
0.5
Sanderson
3.65%
1.0
Renato Jaguarão
0.60%
Luciano do MLB
0.40%
Daniela Mulheres Socialistas
0.35%
Ric Jones
0.20%
Frederico Antunes
0.15%
Tania Peres
0.15%
Milton Cardoso
0.05%
Regis Ethur
0.05%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.