São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place

Most likely right now
Guilherme Derrite
1.547%
PoliticsVol $8.2KTotal volume $27KLiquidity $144Kin 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Guilherme Derrite
47.0%
1.5
Simone Tebet
31.1%
1.2
Marina Silva
12.0%
8.5
André do Prado
6.70%
1.3
Salles
3.25%
2.6
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
0.05%
Ednelson Cesaretti
0.05%
Geraldo Rufino
0.05%
Maíra de Souza
0.05%
Marcio Alves
0.05%
Petter Maahs
0.05%
Soninha Francine
0.05%
Weller Gonçalves
0.05%
William Teixeira
0.05%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.