Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?

Polymarket traders put "September 24" at 65.5% on "Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?". $26K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 13 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 30.

Most likely right now
September 24
66%
PoliticsVol $26KTotal volume $2.7KLiquidity $590in 13 days (Sep 30)
Current probability

Sep 18 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
September 24
65.5%
September 21
59.5%
September 27
55.0%
September 25
50.5%
September 28
49.0%
September 20
46.0%
September 18
44.0%
September 22
43.0%
September 19
42.0%
September 30
39.5%
September 26
38.0%
September 29
38.0%
September 23
33.0%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.