Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Polymarket traders put "October 31" at 44.0% on "Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
October 31
0.544%
TechVol -Total volume $1.4KLiquidity $307in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 31
44.0%
0.5
December 31
43.5%
1.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.