Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 16.5% on "Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $267 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
▲1.017%
TechVol $267Total volume $9.8KLiquidity $3.9Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
16.5%
▲1.0
October 31
5.00%
–

Probability over time

December 31
October 31
02550751008/259/79/159/2310/110/910/11
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.