Second-best AI Lab end of January?
Polymarket traders put "Z.ai" at 43.8% on "Second-best AI Lab end of January?". $2.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Feb 1.
Most likely right now
Z.ai
–44%
TechVol $2.3KTotal volume $2.3KLiquidity $4.7Kin 3 months (Feb 1)
Current probability
Nov 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Z.ai
43.8%
–
Thinky
36.5%
–
DeepSeek
36.0%
–
Anthropic
35.5%
–
MiniMax
34.5%
–
Mistral
34.5%
–
SpaceXAI
33.5%
–
Google
30.5%
–
Meta
29.5%
–
Microsoft
29.5%
–
Xiaomi
10.4%
–
StepFun
7.50%
–
Moonshot
7.20%
–
OpenAI
6.50%
–
Alibaba
6.20%
–
Baidu
6.00%
–
Nvidia
6.00%
–
Meituan
5.50%
–
Tencent
5.00%
–
Amazon
4.55%
–
ByteDance
4.35%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
