When will Gemini Carbon be released?

Polymarket traders put "November 23–November 29" at 24.5% on "When will Gemini Carbon be released?". $145 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 4.

Most likely right now
November 23–November 29
–25%
TechVol $145Total volume $145Liquidity $484in 2 months (Jan 4)
Current probability

Oct 29 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
November 23–November 29
24.5%
–
November 30–December 6
21.5%
–
November 2–November 8
20.5%
–
November 9–November 15
20.5%
–
No release by January 3
20.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.