Second-best AI Lab end of October?
Polymarket traders put "Anthropic" at 66.0% on "Second-best AI Lab end of October?". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $6 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 31.
Most likely right now
Anthropic
▲0.566%
TechVol $6Total volume $50KLiquidity $21Kin 22 days (Oct 31)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Anthropic
66.0%
▲0.5
Google
25.0%
–
Alibaba
2.90%
–
Meta
2.55%
–
OpenAI
1.35%
–
Z.ai
0.65%
–
Moonshot
0.55%
–
Xiaomi
0.55%
–
Baidu
0.50%
–
StepFun
0.45%
–
DeepSeek
0.20%
–
SpaceXAI
0.15%
–
Thinky
0.15%
–
Mistral
0.15%
–
Tencent
0.15%
–
Amazon
0.05%
–
ByteDance
0.05%
–
Nvidia
0.05%
–
MiniMax
0.05%
–
Meituan
0.05%
–
Microsoft
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Anthropic
Google
Alibaba
Meta
OpenAI
Z.ai
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
