Second-best AI Lab end of October?
Most likely right now
Google
–30%
TechVol $20Total volume $9.5KLiquidity $9.3Kin 2 months (Oct 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Google
30.0%
–
Meta
24.0%
▼1.0
Alibaba
13.5%
–
Thinky
10.5%
–
Anthropic
7.50%
–
Z.ai
5.50%
–
DeepSeek
5.50%
–
OpenAI
4.65%
–
ByteDance
3.50%
▲0.6
Meituan
2.75%
–
Xiaomi
2.70%
–
Mistral
2.65%
–
SpaceXAI
1.40%
▼2.0
MiniMax
1.35%
–
Moonshot
1.30%
–
Baidu
1.10%
–
Microsoft
0.85%
–
Tencent
0.50%
–
Nvidia
0.35%
–
Amazon
0.30%
–
StepFun
0.25%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
