Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of January?

Polymarket traders put "Alibaba" at 31.5% on "Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of January?". $1.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Feb 1.

Most likely right now
Alibaba
–32%
TechVol $1.4KTotal volume $1.4KLiquidity $2.8Kin 3 months (Feb 1)
Current probability

Nov 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Alibaba
31.5%
–
Xiaomi
27.5%
–
MiniMax
27.0%
–
Z.ai
26.5%
–
Baidu
22.5%
–
Meituan
22.5%
–
Tencent
22.5%
–
Moonshot
22.0%
–
DeepSeek
22.0%
–
ByteDance
21.5%
–
StepFun
20.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.