Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Polymarket traders put "Google" at 43.0% on "Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $140 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 20 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 31.
Most likely right now
Google
▼1.043%
TechVol $140Total volume $71KLiquidity $8.4Kin 22 days (Oct 31)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Google
43.0%
▼1.0
Anthropic
26.5%
▼10.5
Meta
13.8%
▲3.9
OpenAI
10.9%
▲1.4
Alibaba
7.00%
▲5.4
Z.ai
2.70%
▲1.1
Xiaomi
1.10%
–
Moonshot
1.05%
–
Baidu
0.50%
–
DeepSeek
0.50%
–
SpaceXAI
0.45%
–
ByteDance
0.40%
–
Meituan
0.30%
–
Tencent
0.15%
–
Nvidia
0.05%
–
MiniMax
0.05%
–
Amazon
0.05%
–
Mistral
0.05%
–
StepFun
0.05%
–
Microsoft
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Google
Anthropic
Meta
OpenAI
Alibaba
Z.ai
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
