Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?
Polymarket traders put "September 22" at 40.5% on "Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?". $1.7K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 30.
Most likely right now
September 22
–41%
PoliticsVol $1.7KTotal volume $1.6KLiquidity $1.6Kin 13 days (Sep 30)
Current probability
Sep 18 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
September 22
40.5%
–
September 19
34.5%
–
September 23
34.5%
–
September 20
33.0%
–
September 21
30.0%
–
September 18
28.5%
–
September 29
23.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
