São Paulo Governor Election Winner

Most likely right now
Tarcísio de Freitas
97%
PoliticsVol $478Total volume $291KLiquidity $235KComments 13in 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Tarcísio de Freitas
97.1%
Fernando Haddad
2.80%
Erika Hilton
0.50%
Kim Kataguiri
0.15%
Márcio França
0.05%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.