South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: Runoff Margin of Victory

Most likely right now
Graham Nordone <5%
50%
PoliticsVol $152Total volume $152Liquidity $50KCloses tomorrow (Aug 25)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Graham Nordone <5%
49.5%
Graham Nordone 5–10%
40.5%
Norman <5%
19.0%
Graham Nordone 20–25%
18.0%
Graham Nordone 30%+
5.50%
Graham Nordone 25–30%
5.50%
Norman 5–10%
5.00%
Norman 10–15%
5.00%
Norman 15–20%
5.00%
Norman 20%+
4.00%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.