SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
Polymarket traders put "November 30, 2026" at 89.8% on "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?". Down 5.2%p from yesterday. $975 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jul 1.
Most likely right now
November 30, 2026
▼5.290%
TechVol $975Total volume $76KLiquidity $5.1Kin 8 months (Jul 1)
Current probability
Nov 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
November 30, 2026
89.8%
▼5.2
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
75.5%
▼1.0
November 15, 2026
55.5%
▼28.0
Chopsticks catch Starship?
40.0%
▼8.0
Successful splash down?
28.0%
▼0.5
Super Heavy booster explodes?
21.5%
–
Probability over time
November 30, 2026
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
November 15, 2026
Chopsticks catch Starship?
Successful splash down?
Super Heavy booster explodes?
2026-09-29 ~ 2026-11-12 · y-axis %
