SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?

Polymarket traders put "November 30, 2026" at 74.0% on "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?". $13 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jul 1.

Most likely right now
November 30, 2026
–74%
TechVol $13Total volume $13Liquidity $816in 9 months (Jul 1)
Current probability

Sep 29 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
November 30, 2026
74.0%
–
Chopsticks catch Starship?
73.5%
–
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
29.0%
–
Super Heavy booster explodes?
28.5%
–
October 31, 2026
27.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.