Texas Senate Election: Fort Bend County Winner

Polymarket traders put "James Talarico (D)" at 97.8% on "Texas Senate Election: Fort Bend County Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. $19 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
James Talarico (D)
–98%
PoliticsVol $19Total volume $12KLiquidity $33Kin 17 days (Nov 3)
Current probability

Oct 18 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
James Talarico (D)
97.8%
–
Ken Paxton (R)
0.75%
–

Probability over time

James Talarico (D)
Ken Paxton (R)
02550751009/29/109/189/2610/410/1210/18
2026-09-02 ~ 2026-10-18 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.