Third-best AI Lab end of January?
Polymarket traders put "SpaceXAI" at 40.5% on "Third-best AI Lab end of January?". $1.7K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Feb 1.
Most likely right now
SpaceXAI
–41%
TechVol $1.7KTotal volume $1.7KLiquidity $3.9Kin 3 months (Feb 1)
Current probability
Nov 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
SpaceXAI
40.5%
–
ByteDance
39.6%
–
Anthropic
39.0%
–
Nvidia
39.0%
–
Meituan
38.0%
–
Z.ai
37.0%
–
Xiaomi
36.0%
–
Mistral
35.5%
–
OpenAI
34.5%
–
Moonshot
32.0%
–
Baidu
31.5%
–
Google
30.5%
–
DeepSeek
29.5%
–
Meta
29.0%
–
Alibaba
28.0%
–
Thinky
26.8%
–
MiniMax
24.3%
–
StepFun
23.0%
–
Tencent
6.35%
–
Amazon
3.60%
–
Microsoft
2.55%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
