Third-best AI Lab end of October?
Most likely right now
Google
–31%
TechVol $21Total volume $14KLiquidity $8.9Kin 2 months (Oct 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Google
30.5%
–
Alibaba
21.5%
–
Meta
20.0%
–
Moonshot
7.65%
–
OpenAI
6.65%
▼1.4
Tencent
4.95%
▼3.6
Z.ai
3.90%
–
Anthropic
3.85%
–
ByteDance
3.85%
▲0.5
Xiaomi
3.70%
▼1.1
Mistral
3.40%
▲0.5
MiniMax
2.55%
–
Baidu
0.90%
–
SpaceXAI
0.70%
–
DeepSeek
0.70%
–
Nvidia
0.60%
–
StepFun
0.60%
–
Microsoft
0.60%
–
Amazon
0.50%
–
Thinky
0.50%
–
Meituan
0.50%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
