Third-best AI Lab end of October?
Polymarket traders put "Xiaomi" at 40.0% on "Third-best AI Lab end of October?". Up 11.5%p from yesterday. $891 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 31.
Most likely right now
Xiaomi
▲11.540%
TechVol $891Total volume $58KLiquidity $10Kin 22 days (Oct 31)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Xiaomi
40.0%
▲11.5
Meta
35.0%
▼6.0
Alibaba
13.0%
▼7.0
Baidu
8.40%
▼3.3
Google
2.45%
–
Anthropic
2.40%
–
OpenAI
2.40%
–
Z.ai
0.90%
–
SpaceXAI
0.85%
–
Mistral
0.65%
–
Tencent
0.50%
–
Moonshot
0.45%
–
Meituan
0.45%
–
MiniMax
0.35%
–
DeepSeek
0.30%
–
ByteDance
0.30%
–
Thinky
0.15%
–
Amazon
0.10%
–
Nvidia
0.05%
–
StepFun
0.05%
–
Microsoft
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Xiaomi
Meta
Alibaba
Baidu
Google
Anthropic
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
