Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?
Polymarket traders put "Alibaba" at 20.5% on "Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?". Up 5.5%p from yesterday. $1.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 16 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Alibaba
▲5.521%
TechVol $1.6KTotal volume $1.6KLiquidity $1.4Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Alibaba
20.5%
▲5.5
Google
20.5%
▼7.5
OpenAI
19.5%
▲0.5
Moonshot
15.0%
▼2.0
Meta
11.0%
▼8.5
Poolside
8.45%
▼4.5
Xiaomi
7.75%
▼5.1
Mistral
7.60%
▲3.3
Z.ai
4.95%
▲0.9
Anthropic
4.10%
▼9.2
SpaceXAI
4.10%
–
ByteDance
4.00%
–
MiniMax
3.95%
▼9.3
Thinky
3.65%
–
DeepSeek
3.60%
▼5.0
Tencent
3.60%
–
Probability over time
Alibaba
Google
OpenAI
Moonshot
Meta
Poolside
2026-10-02 ~ 2026-10-03 · y-axis %
