Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?
Polymarket traders put "Meta" at 22.5% on "Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?". Up 8.0%p from yesterday. $1.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Meta
▲8.023%
TechVol $1.3KTotal volume $1.3KLiquidity $2.9Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Meta
22.5%
▲8.0
Google
17.0%
▲2.5
DeepSeek
17.0%
▲3.5
Z.ai
16.0%
▼1.5
Anthropic
11.5%
▼2.0
Mistral
10.5%
▼14.3
MiniMax
10.5%
▼14.0
StepFun
10.4%
▼14.9
Tencent
10.4%
▲6.3
Alibaba
6.00%
▼7.5
Nvidia
4.10%
▼19.4
SpaceXAI
4.05%
▼20.9
Moonshot
4.05%
–
Meituan
4.05%
▼21.9
Microsoft
4.05%
–
Thinky
4.05%
▼19.4
OpenAI
4.00%
–
Baidu
4.00%
▼21.6
Xiaomi
4.00%
–
Amazon
3.60%
▼9.6
Bytedance
3.60%
▼9.4
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
