Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
Polymarket traders put "Google" at 30.0% on "Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?". $892 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.
Most likely right now
Google
–30%
TechVol $892Total volume $892Liquidity $2.4Kin 2 months (Dec 1)
Current probability
Sep 19 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Google
30.0%
–
Anthropic
29.0%
–
OpenAI
25.5%
–
Baidu
25.5%
–
Xiaomi
25.5%
–
Moonshot
25.5%
–
Thinky
25.4%
–
Nvidia
14.0%
–
DeepSeek
13.5%
–
StepFun
13.5%
–
SpaceXAI
13.3%
–
Meituan
13.1%
–
Tencent
12.0%
–
Mistral
11.6%
–
Microsoft
11.5%
–
Meta
10.5%
–
Amazon
8.00%
–
Z.ai
6.50%
–
MiniMax
6.50%
–
Alibaba
4.05%
–
Bytedance
3.50%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
