Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
Polymarket traders put "Alibaba" at 47.6% on "Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?". Down 3.1%p from yesterday. $56 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.
Most likely right now
Alibaba
▼3.148%
TechVol $56Total volume $21KLiquidity $11Kin 26 days (Dec 1)
Current probability
Nov 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Alibaba
47.6%
▼3.1
Anthropic
39.0%
▼4.5
Meta
36.6%
▼6.9
OpenAI
34.2%
▲30.2
Meituan
31.9%
▼4.7
Thinky
31.3%
▼10.2
Nvidia
28.9%
▼8.9
Mistral
28.0%
▼1.5
Moonshot
15.0%
–
Google
14.0%
▲0.5
Z.ai
13.5%
–
DeepSeek
6.50%
–
Tencent
6.05%
–
Baidu
4.90%
–
Xiaomi
4.30%
–
Bytedance
4.20%
–
SpaceXAI
4.00%
–
Microsoft
2.65%
–
Amazon
1.70%
–
StepFun
1.35%
–
MiniMax
0.55%
–
Probability over time
Alibaba
Anthropic
Meta
OpenAI
Meituan
Thinky
2026-09-19 ~ 2026-11-05 · y-axis %
