Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Most likely right now
Alibaba
▲6.533%
TechVol $234Total volume $25KLiquidity $8.0Kin 2 months (Oct 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Alibaba
33.0%
▲6.5
OpenAI
22.5%
▲1.0
Google
19.5%
–
Nvidia
13.5%
▼2.5
Anthropic
3.85%
–
Moonshot
3.55%
–
Z.ai
2.05%
▼4.0
Meituan
1.25%
–
Meta
0.80%
–
Baidu
0.65%
–
Xiaomi
0.65%
–
Tencent
0.55%
–
DeepSeek
0.50%
–
SpaceXAI
0.45%
–
Mistral
0.35%
–
MiniMax
0.25%
–
Bytedance
0.25%
–
StepFun
0.15%
–
Microsoft
0.15%
–
Amazon
0.10%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
