Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 11.5% on "Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $599 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
▲1.012%
EconomyVol $599Total volume $26KLiquidity $933in 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 30 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
11.5%
▲1.0
November 30
8.90%
▲5.1
October 31
3.45%
▲0.5

Probability over time

December 31
November 30
October 31
02550751009/189/2610/410/1210/2010/2810/30
2026-09-18 ~ 2026-10-30 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.