TX-15 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 12%+" at 15.0% on "TX-15 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. $461 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 12%+
▼1.515%
PoliticsVol $461Total volume $671Liquidity $37Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Sep 18 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 12%+
15.0%
▼1.5
Republican 6-9%
13.5%
▼9.5
Republican 0-3%
13.0%
▼2.0
Democrat 9-12%
12.5%
▼21.0
Democrat 6-9%
11.5%
▼3.5
Democrat 12%+
11.5%
▼4.0
Democrat 3-6%
8.00%
▼9.5
Republican 3-6%
5.50%
▼11.5
Democrat 0-3%
3.60%
▼9.3
Republican 9-12%
3.15%
▼23.4
Probability over time
Republican 12%+
Republican 6-9%
Republican 0-3%
Democrat 9-12%
Democrat 6-9%
Democrat 12%+
2026-08-26 ~ 2026-09-18 · y-axis %
