UK election called by...?

Most likely right now
June 30, 2027
31%
OtherVol $80Total volume $822KLiquidity $6.5KComments 14in 10 months (Jul 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
June 30, 2027
31.0%
December 31, 2026
12.0%
1.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.