UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

Polymarket traders put "0.4–0.5%" at 46.5% on "UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $255 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 13.

Most likely right now
0.4–0.5%
▼0.547%
EconomyVol $255Total volume $31KLiquidity $3.5Kin 1 months (Nov 13)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
0.4–0.5%
46.5%
▼0.5
0.2–0.3%
22.0%
▲3.0
0.6–0.7%
19.6%
▼0.9
0.8–0.9%
8.05%
–
0.0–0.1%
6.55%
▲4.0
Negative
2.25%
–
1.0%+
0.50%
–

Probability over time

0.4–0.5%
0.2–0.3%
0.6–0.7%
0.8–0.9%
0.0–0.1%
Negative
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.