University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026

Polymarket traders put "49.0 to 51.9" at 25.0% on "University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026". $860 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 23.

Most likely right now
49.0 to 51.9
–25%
EconomyVol $860Total volume $860Liquidity $1.4Kin 22 days (Oct 23)
Current probability

Oct 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
49.0 to 51.9
25.0%
–
43.0 to 45.9
23.5%
–
52.0 to 54.9
16.0%
–
55.0+
13.5%
–
<40.0
13.0%
–
40.0 to 42.9
12.5%
–
46.0 to 48.9
12.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.