US Birth Rate in 2026? (Per 1000 Women)

Polymarket traders put "51.0+" at 88.0% on "US Birth Rate in 2026? (Per 1000 Women)". $3.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on May 1.

Most likely right now
51.0+
–88%
EconomyVol $3.1KTotal volume $3.1KLiquidity $2.7Kin 6 months (May 1)
Current probability

Oct 29 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
51.0+
88.0%
–
51.5+
85.5%
–
52.0+
84.0%
–
52.5+
38.0%
–
53.0+
14.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.