US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Most likely right now
August 22
–100%
PoliticsVol $474KTotal volume $2.8MLiquidity $592KComments 58in 1 months (Sep 30)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
August 22
100.0%
–
August 25
99.3%
▲0.7
August 31
92.5%
▲2.0
September 15
81.5%
▲1.0
September 30
73.5%
▲2.0
October 31
65.5%
▲1.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
