US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Polymarket traders put "≥3.0%" at 67.5% on "US GDP growth in Q3 2026?". Down 3.5%p from yesterday. $1.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 30.
Most likely right now
≥3.0%
▼3.568%
EconomyVol $1.1KTotal volume $52KLiquidity $11Kin 20 days (Oct 30)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
≥3.0%
67.5%
▼3.5
2.5–3.0%
16.0%
▲0.5
2.0–2.5%
11.0%
▲0.5
0.5–1.0%
3.60%
–
1.0–1.5%
1.95%
–
<0.5%
1.15%
–
1.5–2.0%
0.75%
–
Probability over time
≥3.0%
2.5–3.0%
2.0–2.5%
0.5–1.0%
1.0–1.5%
<0.5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
