US GDP growth in Q4 2026?
Polymarket traders put "3.0% to 3.5%" at 28.5% on "US GDP growth in Q4 2026?". $180 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 29.
Most likely right now
3.0% to 3.5%
–28%
EconomyVol $180Total volume $180Liquidity $3.1Kin 3 months (Jan 29)
Current probability
Oct 30 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
3.0% to 3.5%
28.5%
–
2.0% to 2.5%
26.5%
–
<1.5%
26.0%
–
1.5% to 2.0%
25.5%
–
2.5% to 3.0%
22.5%
–
3.5% to 4.0%
21.5%
–
≥4.0%
15.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
