Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

Polymarket traders put "June 30, 2027" at 9.5% on "Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?". $30 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jul 1.

Most likely right now
June 30, 2027
–10%
EconomyVol $30Total volume $49KLiquidity $78Kin 9 months (Jul 1)
Current probability

Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
June 30, 2027
9.50%
–
December 31, 2026
2.65%
–

Probability over time

June 30, 2027
December 31, 2026
02550751008/259/79/159/2310/110/910/11
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.