How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "35 to 49" at 49.0% on "How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $4.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Apr 1.
Most likely right now
35 to 49
▼0.549%
TechVol $4.5KTotal volume $35KLiquidity $2.6Kin 6 months (Apr 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
35 to 49
49.0%
▼0.5
20 to 34
26.5%
▲12.7
50 or more
8.15%
▼23.3
Fewer than 20
7.30%
▲6.9
Probability over time
35 to 49
20 to 34
50 or more
Fewer than 20
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
