What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "↑ $30" at 27.0% on "What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?". Down 2.0%p from yesterday. $44 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
↑ $30
▼2.027%
TechVol $44Total volume $44Liquidity $500in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Sep 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
↑ $30
27.0%
▼2.0
↓ $10
22.5%
▼19.5
↑ $50
21.5%
▼5.0

Probability over time

↑ $30
↓ $10
↑ $50
02550751009/259/26
2026-09-25 ~ 2026-09-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.