What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "↓ $15" at 58.5% on "What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $36 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
↓ $15
▲1.059%
TechVol $36Total volume $13KLiquidity $1.8Kin 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
↓ $15
58.5%
▲1.0
↑ $30
22.5%
–
↑ $25
20.5%
▼1.0
↓ $10
20.0%
▼1.0
↑ $50
2.40%
–
Probability over time
↓ $15
↑ $30
↑ $25
↓ $10
↑ $50
2026-09-25 ~ 2026-11-10 · y-axis %
