What will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "↑ $15" at 61.5% on "What will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?". $40 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
↑ $15
–62%
TechVol $40Total volume $40Liquidity $367in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Sep 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
↑ $15
61.5%
–
↓ $5
27.5%
–
↑ $20
25.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
