What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?
Polymarket traders put "Apple Intelligence" at 82.5% on "What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?". $1.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 15 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 9.
Most likely right now
Apple Intelligence
–83%
TechVol $1.5KTotal volume $1.5KLiquidity $3.3Kin 6 days (Sep 9)
Current probability
Sep 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Apple Intelligence
82.5%
–
Hardware
69.0%
–
Flexible
58.5%
–
Battery Life 3+ times
45.0%
–
Aluminum
44.0%
–
Chip
36.5%
–
AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times
32.5%
–
Fold / Folding / Foldable 10+ times
27.5%
–
Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times
25.0%
–
AirPods Pro
24.5%
–
Steve Jobs
23.0%
–
Afford / Affordable
21.5%
–
AirTag
21.5%
–
One More Thing 3+ times
9.00%
–
-No Qualifying Event-
2.45%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
