What will Kevin Warsh say during October Press Conference?
Polymarket traders put "Good Day" at 94.5% on "What will Kevin Warsh say during October Press Conference?". Up 5.5%p from yesterday. $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 20 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 28.
Most likely right now
Good Day
▲5.595%
EconomyVol $1.2KTotal volume $1.2KLiquidity $11Kin 13 days (Oct 28)
Current probability
Oct 16 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Good Day
94.5%
▲5.5
Good Question
92.5%
▲20.5
Oil / Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas
82.5%
▲56.5
Pressure / Stagflation
80.0%
▲7.0
President / Trump
75.5%
▲2.5
CapEx / Capital Expenditure
74.5%
▲48.5
Conflict / Middle East
66.0%
▲40.0
Price 30+ times
63.5%
▼8.5
SI / Super Intelligence
51.5%
▲32.5
Inflation 20+ times
45.0%
▲17.0
AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times
44.0%
▼29.0
Payroll
30.0%
▼43.0
Unchanged / Dissent
28.0%
▼45.0
Soft / Softening
27.0%
▲1.0
Oversight
25.0%
▼1.0
Pandemic / Recession
23.5%
▼2.5
Software
20.5%
▼5.5
Gold / Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
6.00%
▼20.0
Good Afternoon
5.50%
▼21.5
-No Qualifying Event-
2.25%
▼23.8
Probability over time
Good Day
Good Question
Oil / Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas
Pressure / Stagflation
President / Trump
CapEx / Capital Expenditure
2026-10-15 ~ 2026-10-16 · y-axis %
