What will Kevin Warsh say during September Press Conference?

Polymarket traders put "Good Day" at 90.0% on "What will Kevin Warsh say during September Press Conference?". Up 44.5%p from yesterday. $776 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 22 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 16.

Most likely right now
Good Day
44.590%
EconomyVol $776Total volume $776Liquidity $20Kin 6 days (Sep 16)
Current probability

Sep 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Good Day
90.0%
44.5
Productivity
87.5%
42.0
AI / Artificial Intelligence
85.5%
40.0
Balance Sheet
82.0%
36.5
Projection
78.0%
32.5
Inflation 20+ times
58.0%
12.5
Bet / Betting
54.5%
9.0
Task Force 10+ times
47.5%
2.0
Inflation 40+ times
46.0%
0.5
Labor Force
45.5%
Scenario
45.5%
Pressure
45.5%
Echo
45.0%
0.5
Software
45.0%
0.5
Luck / Lucky
45.0%
0.5
Pandemic
43.5%
2.0
Anchor / Anchored
26.0%
19.5
Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas
24.5%
21.0
Dissent
19.0%
26.5
Good Afternoon
10.0%
35.5
Trump
6.50%
39.0
-No Qualifying Event-
3.95%
41.5

Probability over time

Good Day
Productivity
AI / Artificial Intelligence
Balance Sheet
Projection
Inflation 20+ times
02550751009/109/11
2026-09-10 ~ 2026-09-11 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.