What will Scott Bessent say during press conference?
Most likely right now
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
–86%
PoliticsVol $365Total volume $1.4KLiquidity $3.2KCloses today (Aug 24)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
86.0%
–
Regime
79.5%
–
Secondary
74.5%
–
Network
73.0%
–
President / Trump 10+ times
70.5%
–
Cost / Price
70.0%
–
Shadow
65.0%
–
Iran 10+ times
62.5%
–
Facilitator / Facilitate / Facilitates
62.5%
–
Maximum Pressure
28.5%
–
-No Qualifying Event-
4.45%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
