What will Trump say during Tele-Rallies on August 24?

Most likely right now
State 5+ times
100%
PoliticsVol $6.7KTotal volume $6.7KLiquidity $37KCloses today (Aug 24)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
State 5+ times
100.0%
Job 3+ times
100.0%
MAGA / Make America Great Again
90.0%
Transgender
82.5%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
57.9%
Indy / Race
57.5%
Respect / Respects / Respected
55.8%
Farmer
55.5%
Ballot
45.0%
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
45.0%
Impeach / Impeachment
18.5%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
17.5%
Hottest
15.5%
Supreme Court
12.0%
Ukraine
10.0%
Ceasefire
6.50%
Border 3+ times
1.00%
Landslide
0.50%
-No Qualifying Event-
0.50%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.