When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?
Polymarket traders put "November 30–December 6" at 26.5% on "When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?". $2.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 16 possible outcomes. It resolves on Feb 1.
Most likely right now
November 30–December 6
–27%
TechVol $2.5KTotal volume $2.5KLiquidity $6.6Kin 3 months (Feb 1)
Current probability
Oct 22 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
November 30–December 6
26.5%
–
December 28–January 3
16.5%
–
No release by January 31
15.5%
–
October 26–November 1
14.0%
–
November 16–November 22
9.50%
–
November 9–November 15
8.00%
–
December 21–December 27
7.00%
–
January 11–January 17
4.10%
–
Prior to October 26
4.00%
–
November 23–November 29
4.00%
–
November 2–November 8
3.50%
–
January 25–January 31
3.35%
–
December 7–December 13
2.50%
–
December 14–December 20
2.50%
–
January 18–January 24
2.10%
–
January 4–January 10
0.65%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
