When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?
Most likely right now
No Atlantic hurricane will form in August 2026
–88%
OtherVol $549Total volume $6.9KLiquidity $14Kin 7 days (Sep 1)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
No Atlantic hurricane will form in August 2026
88.0%
–
August 27 to August 31, 2026
10.5%
–
August 22 to August 26, 2026
1.65%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
